Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.
Grayscale, one of the largest institutions heavily invested in crypto, is getting increasingly interested in Litecoin [LTC]. It will soon include LTC, among four assets, in the FTSE Grayscale Crypto Sector Index Series.
— Litecoin (@litecoin) October 24, 2023
Though the announcement led to a modest price rally on LTC’s charts, it didn’t last long. The token was trading at $67.85 at press time.
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Glass half full
On 2 August, the third halving of Litecoin took place when the network reached a block height of 2,520,000, which reduced miners’ rewards from 12.5 LTC to 6.25 LTC.
LITECOIN HAS SUCCESSFULLY HALVED ITS BLOCK REWARD!
— Litecoin (@litecoin) August 2, 2023
Halving is a significant event programmed into certain cryptocurrency protocols, including Litecoin, that takes place at regular intervals. During this event, the block reward given to miners for validating transactions and securing the network is reduced by half.
The primary purpose of halving is to control the issuance rate of new coins and manage inflation within the cryptocurrency system.
The impact of halving is two-fold. First, it introduces an element of scarcity into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. With the reduced block rewards, the rate at which new coins are introduced into circulation decreases.
This creates a sense of scarcity among market participants, potentially leading to an increase in demand for cryptocurrency.
Secondly, halving affects the mining rewards for miners. As the block rewards are halved, miners receive fewer coins for their mining efforts. This can result in decreased mining profitability, especially for miners with higher operating costs.
Some miners may leave the network if the costs of mining exceed the rewards, potentially leading to a temporary decline in the network’s hash rate and overall security.
Litecoin, as it completes its third halving since its inception in 2011, will experience a reduction in its supply rate. It will lead to fewer new LTC being mined. This scarcity factor could trigger increased demand and speculative activity in the cryptocurrency market.
Furthermore, miners will need to adjust to the reduced mining rewards, which may impact their profitability and mining operations.
ChatGPT makes a comparison
Experts expected that the halving could help Litecoin gain more market share in the PoW sector. To make a comparison, I consulted ChatGPT to highlight the various differences of multiple PoW cryptocurrencies and their various advantages.
According to the AI bot, Litecoin’s emphasis on faster transactions and lower fees is likely to attract more users and investors. As transaction volumes increase, network activity for Litecoin could surge, enhancing its appeal as a quick and cost-effective digital currency.
However, Dogecoin’s inflationary nature stands in contrast to Litecoin’s scarcity induced by halving. While Dogecoin has strong community and viral appeal, concerns about dilution arising from its inflationary supply might favor Litecoin in the short term.
Meanwhile, users valuing privacy and anonymity are more likely to stick with Monero [XMR] due to its unique privacy features. However, for those prioritizing speed and lower fees, Litecoin could serve as a practical alternative.
Regarding Ethereum Classic [ETC], its focus on immutability and code-as-law principles might attract a distinct audience compared to Litecoin’s user base. The short-term advantage for each cryptocurrency would depend on specific use cases and the preferences of users and investors during this period.
Does Litecoin have a competitive advantage?
Regulatory scrutiny against various cryptocurrencies has impacted various altcoins negatively. However, Litecoin was one of the few altcoins that was considered a commodity in the lawsuit filing against Binance [BNB].
On March 27, 2023, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission stated that $LTC is a “commodity.”
— Litecoin (@litecoin) July 21, 2023
After asking ChatGPT’s opinion on this development, it stated the classification of Litecoin as a commodity is “a significant milestone in its journey.” It could lead to a surge in investor confidence and potentially drive its price upward.
Read Litecoin’s [LTC] Price Prediction 2023-2024
Price tells a different story
At press time, LTC was trading at $67.85. Both LTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI) rested below the neutral 50-mark.
In conclusion, Litecoin’s on-chain metrics point towards a bearish price trend in the short run.
I asked ChatGPT when it expected LTC to reach the $100-price mark. It gave a vague response, saying it could happen in the coming months or years.